MRDISS
0x4f33f2efcbc97cf923afc10b71fbc33b03d69eeb
- Realised P&L
- $-392.17
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $33.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.349Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
- +$4.55at 0.887Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?
- +$3.99at 0.221Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.54at 0.590Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
- +$3.50at 0.111Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,400-$5,800 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 01:26 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-06 02:54 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0108905069 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 02:35 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999978 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 02:31 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 02:29 | Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.2594810099 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.0384784875 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 20:06 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1879699248 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 20:06 | Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0612459109 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 01:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 19:52 | Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? | BUY | 0.0228003183 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 19:48 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | BUY | 0.0747295902 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 19:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 19:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 18:46 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999914 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 02:00 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.39 |