PolyBot

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Traders

MRDISS

0x4f33f2efcbc97cf923afc10b71fbc33b03d69eeb

Realised P&L
$-392.17
Volume
$42.6k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$33.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1530.145$30.26$1.74
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1880.100$2.66$2.34
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0610.007$0.57$4.43
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June? · Yes0.2410.000$0.00$214.46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 36-37°F on January 27? · Yes0.2740.000$0.00$15.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$7.00
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in February? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$39.44
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 33°F or below on January 27? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$40.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$47.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 01:26OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-06 02:54Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0108905069$10.00
07-06 02:35Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999978$10.00
07-06 02:31Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-06 02:29Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?BUY0.2594810099$5.00
06-03 15:32Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?BUY0.0384784875$10.00
06-02 20:06Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1879699248$5.00
06-02 20:06Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0612459109$5.00
06-02 01:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
05-29 19:52Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?BUY0.0228003183$5.00
05-29 19:48Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?BUY0.0747295902$10.00
05-29 19:46Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
05-29 19:46Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?BUY0.02$5.00
05-29 18:46Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1029999914$10.00
02-25 02:00Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in February?SELL0.001$0.39