DFV2
0x4f315c1f2fcfbcbccc31fa28ae086babf309efa3
- Realised P&L
- $28.8k
- Volume
- $3.20M
- Markets traded
- 291
- Open portfolio
- $502.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded291
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.4kat 0.885Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$15.3kat 0.882Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
- +$5.4kat 0.956Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.925Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?
- +$3.1kat 0.973Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 00:03 | Will XRP reach $2.40 in October? | BUY | 0.9859952279 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 22:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $993.69 |
| 10-16 15:07 | Will Solana reach $140 in October? | BUY | 0.9587353036 | $315.18 |
| 10-16 12:53 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 11:15 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8457250235 | $135.02 |
| 10-16 10:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.3k |
| 10-16 10:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.3k |
| 10-16 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8999999998 | $3.9k |
| 10-16 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.6k |
| 10-16 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.6k |
| 10-16 06:34 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $1.4k |
| 10-16 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8407117974 | $167.84 |
| 10-16 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $4.3k |
| 10-16 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $4.3k |
| 10-16 03:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $4.3k |