0x4f2
0x4f29e103339919c4baaea2a60195cf1c8bb27a7e
- Realised P&L
- $-151.7k
- Volume
- $302.57M
- Markets traded
- 13,752
- Open portfolio
- $62.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13,752
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.574 | 0.880 | $14.8k | +$5.2k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets · Baltimore Orioles | 0.892 | 1.000 | $9.8k | +$1.1k |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-5.5) · Baltimore Orioles | 0.332 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$1.9k |
| Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Miami Marlins | 0.577 | 0.525 | $2.7k | −$271.96 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.941 | 1.000 | $2.4k | +$139.85 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.435 | 0.445 | $2.0k | +$45.32 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Over | 0.509 | 0.885 | $1.7k | +$727.91 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros · Kansas City Royals | 0.690 | 0.925 | $1.6k | +$411.22 |
| Spread: Chicago Cubs (-5.5) · Atlanta Braves | 0.393 | 1.000 | $1.6k | +$954.90 |
| Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) · Baltimore Orioles | 0.697 | 1.000 | $1.4k | +$420.55 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies · San Diego Padres | 0.725 | 0.986 | $1.3k | +$336.48 |
| Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) · Kansas City Royals | 0.568 | 0.830 | $1.2k | +$390.58 |
| Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10? · No | 0.902 | 0.905 | $1.2k | +$4.02 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 · Over | 0.484 | 0.830 | $1.0k | +$420.90 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 · Over | 0.592 | 0.695 | $949.23 | +$141.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$218.5kat 0.301Will England win on 2026-06-23?
- +$174.4kat 0.426Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$147.7kat 0.265Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$127.5kat 0.481Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
- +$125.3kat 0.516Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:14 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.2 | $57.97 |
| 09-17 02:11 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | SELL | 0.57 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 02:08 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $4.92 |
| 09-17 02:03 | Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-17 02:03 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $0.40 |
| 09-17 02:01 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5437037037 | $14.68 |
| 09-17 01:58 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-17 01:58 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 01:53 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-17 01:53 | Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-17 01:51 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5375 | $10.75 |
| 09-17 01:49 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-17 01:46 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5524909151 | $16.72 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6739272611 | $42.25 |