Samil1
0x4f2570a3c8efe4fd4b883fc0539fa706ac725d18
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $68.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.365 | $68.68 | +$0.94 |
| Spread: England (-1.5) · England | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.97 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.591Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.5kat 0.617Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$37.29at 0.627Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$28.84at 0.785Will France win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 11:05 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.36 | $67.74 |
| 07-01 07:21 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $131.97 |
| 06-30 19:44 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.78 | $104.71 |
| 06-30 16:57 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 06-19 20:07 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.1k |
| 06-19 08:42 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $2.6k |
| 11-01 20:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5912205572 | $5.9k |
| 11-01 20:31 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5949999506 | $9.99 |