200uuu
0x4f24c99574d2a23e9e2063bbadcabf3f97c71a65
- Realised P&L
- $-620.55
- Volume
- $34.3k
- Markets traded
- 682
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded682
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.94at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
- +$79.44at 0.476Bitcoin Up or Down on March 30?
- +$72.96at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down on January 13?
- +$70.95at 0.513Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13?
- +$66.36at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down on December 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | SELL | 0.96 | $20.37 |
| 09-17 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $23.00 |
| 09-16 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999922 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 17:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1399999968 | $2.60 |
| 09-16 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999654 | $1.70 |
| 09-16 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 22:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 22:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 15:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.608310248 | $36.00 |
| 09-04 14:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.23 |
| 09-04 14:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |