ozzy50years
0x4f214dce8c388a5be4d288b6449378ea0bd20ad0
- Realised P&L
- $2.95
- Volume
- $624.91
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $9.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 18? · No | 0.990 | 0.983 | $4.92 | −$0.04 |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 18? · No | 0.990 | 0.980 | $4.90 | −$0.05 |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 7? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 6? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 12? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? · No | 0.927 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.93at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 25?
- +$3.90at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on March 17?
- +$3.89at 0.610Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 21?
- +$3.75at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 4?
- +$3.60at 0.486Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:16 | Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 23:14 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-18 02:41 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17? | BUY | 0.89999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:13 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:12 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 01:02 | Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 00:59 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.93 |
| 09-17 00:58 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.74 |
| 09-16 02:30 | Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:27 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-16 02:25 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 15? | BUY | 0.9940238569 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 01:29 | Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 15? | BUY | 0.9805373603 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 02:43 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 14? | BUY | 0.9899999669 | $4.79 |
| 09-15 02:41 | Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 14? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.58 |
| 09-14 06:23 | Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 13? | BUY | 0.9799996766 | $2.00 |