PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ozzy50years

0x4f214dce8c388a5be4d288b6449378ea0bd20ad0

Realised P&L
$2.95
Volume
$624.91
Markets traded
115
Open portfolio
$9.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded115
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 18? · No0.9900.983$4.92$0.04
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 18? · No0.9900.980$4.90$0.05
Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 7? · Yes0.9900.000$0.00$1.00
Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 6? · Yes0.9800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 12? · No0.9600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? · No0.9270.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 23:16Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 18?BUY0.99$4.95
09-18 23:14Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 18?BUY0.99$4.95
09-18 02:41Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17?BUY0.89999928$1.00
09-18 02:13Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 17?BUY0.99$5.00
09-18 02:12Will it rain in New York, NY on September 17?BUY0.92$1.00
09-17 01:02Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 16?BUY0.99$1.20
09-17 00:59Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 16?BUY0.99$5.93
09-17 00:58Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 16?BUY0.99$4.74
09-16 02:30Will it rain in New Orleans, LA on September 15?BUY0.99$2.00
09-16 02:27Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 15?BUY0.99$4.95
09-16 02:25Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 15?BUY0.9940238569$2.00
09-16 01:29Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 15?BUY0.9805373603$2.00
09-15 02:43Will it rain in New York, NY on September 14?BUY0.9899999669$4.79
09-15 02:41Will it rain in Houston, TX on September 14?BUY0.94$6.58
09-14 06:23Will it rain in Phoenix, AZ on September 13?BUY0.9799996766$2.00