0x0101010101
0x4f1e3db0b0471aac286e6a2e705193346058bffb
- Realised P&L
- $16.23
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $12.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.48at 0.430Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$19.30at 0.303Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$7.45at 0.850Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
- +$5.92at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$3.20at 0.720Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:28 | Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $15.00 |
| 10-08 20:27 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $13.34 |
| 10-07 06:30 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7119126552 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $7.74 |
| 10-04 21:23 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6846935993 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 09:03 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0165321402 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:34 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2489999973 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 18:23 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-11 19:25 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $1.34 |
| 09-11 19:19 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 18:52 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $0.97 |
| 09-11 18:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 18:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | SELL | 0.29 | $1.26 |
| 09-11 18:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 18:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |