PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Nameisa

0x4f116b5f6a403c8df1e2d05e3a16cc4f98d3ce9f

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$223.6k
Markets traded
243
Open portfolio
$116.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded243
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Portugal vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 · Under0.5700.535$107.00−$7.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.3600.046$9.30−$62.70
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5 · Under0.3100.000$0.00−$0.45
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$108.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:32Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?SELL0.54$6.10
10-02 19:31Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?SELL0.05$10.00
10-02 14:21Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4?BUY0.36$72.00
10-01 17:32Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?SELL0.999$100.39
10-01 14:57Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?BUY0.24$12.72
10-01 14:55Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 1?BUY0.22$10.45
10-01 14:55Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 1?BUY0.29$29.00
05-13 13:41Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5SELL0.53$11.11
05-10 22:37Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?SELL0.04$24.00
05-10 21:45Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?BUY0.26$156.00
05-10 21:08Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 10?SELL0.27$162.00
05-08 21:14Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?SELL0.041$8.20
05-08 21:14Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?SELL0.071856$14.37
05-08 17:27Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 8?BUY0.15$30.00
04-30 04:09Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?SELL0.061019$30.51