OLLIEOLLIEOLLIE
0x4ef70d28b441a7b802c920f15bb45f7314f3444e
- Realised P&L
- $-53.8k
- Volume
- $600.3k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $509.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.2kat 0.300Thunder vs. Timberwolves
- +$20.2kat 0.160Wizards vs. Grizzlies
- +$9.5kat 0.620Raptors vs. Bucks
- +$3.6kat 0.740Kings vs. Trail Blazers
- +$3.0kat 0.760Lakers vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 04:27 | Adelaide 36ers vs. Cairns Taipans | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 09-26 00:12 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-25 00:10 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-24 00:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.963 | $19.26 |
| 09-23 06:27 | Cairns Taipans vs. Tasmania JackJumpers | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 06:19 | Brisbane Bullets vs. New Zealand Breakers | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 01:33 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.61 | $6.10 |
| 09-20 04:49 | James Madison vs. San Diego State | BUY | 0.91 | $24.57 |
| 09-19 04:58 | Hawthorn Hawks vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.54 | $4.77 |
| 09-18 07:17 | Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers | BUY | 0.64 | $5.32 |
| 09-15 01:56 | Broncos vs. Chiefs | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-14 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 09-13 13:47 | Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-12 01:55 | Brisbane Lions vs. Adelaide Crows | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 09-11 05:59 | Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |