PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Vepp

0x4ef3a65f09d8b12b7a5628f8f9c558ddcbd34f01

Realised P&L
$-29.83
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$11.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7900.905$7.37+$0.94
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5900.315$2.65$2.32
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.0200.029$1.69+$0.51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · No0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 18:51Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.726$9.89
07-21 12:28Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$10.46
07-21 12:26Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?SELL0.992$24.17
07-20 06:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.67$0.13
07-20 06:07Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.7339999913$10.00
07-20 05:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.67$0.52
07-20 05:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.68$3.60
07-19 22:58US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.87$0.67
07-19 22:26US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.86$0.33
07-18 21:27US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.87$2.49
07-18 18:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.7$1.57
07-16 21:46Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?SELL0.99$0.40
07-16 20:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
07-16 20:36Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?SELL0.99$4.37
07-02 22:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?SELL0.011$0.12