Vepp
0x4ef3a65f09d8b12b7a5628f8f9c558ddcbd34f01
- Realised P&L
- $-29.83
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $11.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.790 | 0.905 | $7.37 | +$0.94 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.590 | 0.315 | $2.65 | −$2.32 |
| Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.029 | $1.69 | +$0.51 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.85at 0.490US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$11.61at 0.710Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
- +$5.56at 0.600US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
- +$4.20at 0.843Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$2.24at 0.840Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 18:51 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.726 | $9.89 |
| 07-21 12:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $10.46 |
| 07-21 12:26 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $24.17 |
| 07-20 06:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.13 |
| 07-20 06:07 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7339999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 05:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.52 |
| 07-20 05:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.68 | $3.60 |
| 07-19 22:58 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.67 |
| 07-19 22:26 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $0.33 |
| 07-18 21:27 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $2.49 |
| 07-18 18:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.57 |
| 07-16 21:46 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.40 |
| 07-16 20:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 20:36 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.37 |
| 07-02 22:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.12 |