jaybd
0x4ef164fc32dabb94face942a27ba5723167fd36f
- Realised P&L
- $-98.17
- Volume
- $76.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.072 | $1.6k | −$135.22 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.021 | $834.63 | −$3.0k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.021 | $304.69 | −$542.49 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.025 | $262.93 | −$595.62 |
| New pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.018 | $159.37 | −$460.62 |
| Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$93.76 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.11 | $814.04 |
| 11-01 16:14 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1099558759 | $299.04 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0733900604 | $5.95 |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.05 | $137.85 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.043 | $8.60 |
| 11-01 16:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.042 | $13.82 |
| 11-01 16:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0369855271 | $111.22 |
| 09-24 05:13 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0935434816 | $1.7k |
| 09-15 09:19 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0680786556 | $620.00 |
| 07-21 15:08 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.1k |
| 06-25 18:27 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $858.55 |
| 05-21 09:04 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.057 | $847.19 |
| 05-21 07:27 | Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | BUY | 0.059777663 | $93.76 |