milkthedip
0x4eee1f276849a3b98d1e0c0bac458e06cbe75841
- Realised P&L
- $31.0k
- Volume
- $14.18M
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.3kat 0.181Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$4.6kat 0.033Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.8kat 0.352Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$2.9kat 0.017Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$2.7kat 0.525Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:15 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.72 | $25.71 |
| 09-10 17:28 | Will Fenerbahçe win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.44 |
| 09-08 15:02 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.028 | $46.49 |
| 09-06 10:52 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.032 | $16.05 |
| 09-06 02:37 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.034 | $40.22 |
| 09-02 20:06 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.0221848429 | $36.01 |
| 09-01 17:29 | Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $3.01 |
| 08-21 04:50 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.34 |
| 08-16 18:56 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 08-16 15:05 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 08-16 15:01 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 08-16 15:00 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 08-06 19:24 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.086 | $15.24 |
| 08-05 23:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.91 |
| 08-05 23:46 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $128.88 |