PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4eEbd7D1C20a79942bC4dde4C482f0a2274cCf91-1768079143319

0x4eebd7d1c20a79942bc4dde4c482f0a2274ccf91

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$91.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$223.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.0370.018$150.00$149.99
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.3900.285$73.08$26.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$98.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$375.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$20.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$120.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$18.75
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Kurds declare independence from Iran? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00$150.00
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? · Yes0.3240.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$500.00
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$100.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$371.71
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$222.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 15:34Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.3899999982$100.00
08-22 15:34Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.0369999999$300.00
06-30 22:39Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3211841964$214.86
06-16 21:01Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1868545589$500.00
04-11 02:07Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?BUY0.091445399$100.00
04-04 21:05Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.1399999997$300.00
03-12 13:21Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?SELL0.0570657443$9.98
03-12 12:25Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.5717063693$100.00
03-12 12:24Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?SELL0.5488803391$68.62
03-12 12:23Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?BUY0.5896279339$100.00
03-06 15:03Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY0.3235294097$100.00
03-05 08:49Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY0.3359241198$150.00
03-05 08:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.642654514$446.32
03-04 20:58Kurds declare independence from Iran?BUY0.3299999978$100.00
03-04 18:16Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.5658094218$100.00