0x4eEbd7D1C20a79942bC4dde4C482f0a2274cCf91-1768079143319
0x4eebd7d1c20a79942bc4dde4c482f0a2274ccf91
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $91.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $223.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.229US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
- +$285.41at 0.458Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$278.14at 0.350US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
- +$167.95at 0.393Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$76.23at 0.440Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 15:34 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 08-22 15:34 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $300.00 |
| 06-30 22:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3211841964 | $214.86 |
| 06-16 21:01 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1868545589 | $500.00 |
| 04-11 02:07 | Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | BUY | 0.091445399 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 21:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $300.00 |
| 03-12 13:21 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | SELL | 0.0570657443 | $9.98 |
| 03-12 12:25 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.5717063693 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 12:24 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | SELL | 0.5488803391 | $68.62 |
| 03-12 12:23 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13? | BUY | 0.5896279339 | $100.00 |
| 03-06 15:03 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3235294097 | $100.00 |
| 03-05 08:49 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BUY | 0.3359241198 | $150.00 |
| 03-05 08:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.642654514 | $446.32 |
| 03-04 20:58 | Kurds declare independence from Iran? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 18:16 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.5658094218 | $100.00 |