PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wdf168

0x4ee88684b27b44df867ca5f8d57bc1083a71d4b0

Realised P&L
$-60.00
Volume
$682.63
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$3.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 09:59Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 22?BUY0.4199999496$1.50
10-21 09:58Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 22?BUY0.5$2.00
10-21 09:57Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 22?BUY0.0309999995$1.00
10-21 09:55Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 22?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-21 09:55Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 22?BUY0.419999979$2.00
10-21 09:34Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 21?SELL0.001$0.01
10-21 09:34Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 21?SELL0.001$0.02
10-21 09:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21?SELL0.001$0.02
10-21 09:23Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?SELL0.32$4.00
10-21 09:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETSELL0.94$3.68
10-21 09:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
10-21 09:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
10-21 09:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSELL0.999$4.16
10-21 09:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.4799999616$2.00
10-21 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSELL0.49$0.98