56vygu
0x4ee6c2e95bc8a4a8c36293f8e436c7493807e6a1
- Realised P&L
- $30.25
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $133.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.964 | 0.982 | $133.39 | +$2.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.30at 0.897 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$9.08at 0.920Will Berachain launch a token in November?
- +$2.32at 0.980Base airdrop in 2024?
- +$1.97at 0.985Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$0.66at 0.995Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:50 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9644208292 | $131.00 |
| 12-21 02:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $131.91 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $131.77 |
| 05-22 04:47 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $131.11 |
| 02-26 06:43 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.985 | $129.15 |
| 01-05 10:21 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8969999937 | $115.85 |
| 12-03 03:03 | Base airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.98 | $113.53 |
| 11-06 23:40 | Will Berachain launch a token in November? | BUY | 0.92 | $104.45 |