0x4ee49Df73E55984D7DFd2aB5fbaE2eE3b866AAad-1768667341199
0x4ee49df73e55984d7dfd2ab5fbae2ee3b866aaad
- Realised P&L
- $-23.83
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $4.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.021 | $4.11 | −$5.89 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.011 | $0.57 | −$5.42 |
| Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? · 90k | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.25at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$15.61at 0.490Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" this week? (January 25)
- +$7.33at 0.600Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?
- +$6.29at 0.690Seahawks vs. Patriots
- +$4.95at 0.752U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-21 22:00 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 02-13 12:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 12:00 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0523412229 | $10.00 |
| 02-13 12:00 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 07:49 | Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 07:48 | Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 18:47 | Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | BUY | 0.1384083045 | $10.00 |
| 02-03 18:45 | Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 02-03 18:45 | Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | BUY | 0.2269736743 | $15.00 |
| 02-01 21:28 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.6899999872 | $14.00 |
| 02-01 21:25 | Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | BUY | 0.329999948 | $4.00 |
| 02-01 21:21 | Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 01-17 17:26 | Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? | BUY | 0.511307726 | $5.00 |
| 01-17 17:26 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21? | BUY | 0.6899999843 | $11.00 |
| 01-17 17:25 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15? | BUY | 0.5999999891 | $11.00 |