PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ee49Df73E55984D7DFd2aB5fbaE2eE3b866AAad-1768667341199

0x4ee49df73e55984d7dfd2ab5fbae2ee3b866aaad

Realised P&L
$-23.83
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$4.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0520.021$4.11$5.89
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1200.011$0.57$5.42
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$10.00
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes0.2270.000$0.00$15.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? · 90k0.3300.000$0.00$4.00
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-21 22:00Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?BUY0.12$6.00
02-13 12:01Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.16$5.00
02-13 12:00Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.0523412229$10.00
02-13 12:00Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.007$10.00
02-09 07:49Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
02-09 07:48Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
02-03 18:47Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?BUY0.1384083045$10.00
02-03 18:45Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?BUY0.3$15.00
02-03 18:45Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?BUY0.2269736743$15.00
02-01 21:28Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.6899999872$14.00
02-01 21:25Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?BUY0.329999948$4.00
02-01 21:21Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
01-17 17:26Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?BUY0.511307726$5.00
01-17 17:26Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?BUY0.6899999843$11.00
01-17 17:25Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?BUY0.5999999891$11.00