0o0o0o0o0o0
0x4ee31fde9aa15575b6cf97a80ac1367aa534600e
- Realised P&L
- $759.52
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 7,143
- Open portfolio
- $7.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded7,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$632.70at 0.294Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
- +$222.89at 0.290England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$185.68at 0.245Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5
- +$98.77at 0.801Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$87.44at 0.577Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:42 | Will KÍ Klaksvík be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Braga be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.60 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in September be at least 110 mph? | SELL | 0.073 | $1.46 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.323 | $3.77 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Milwaukee Bucks advance to the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.0096111111 | $1.73 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Porto be relegated from the 2026-27 Primeira Liga? | SELL | 0.0119805844 | $1.83 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Qingdao West Coast be relegated from the 2026 Chinese Super League? | SELL | 0.0018846154 | $0.25 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Washington Wizards advance to the Eastern Conference Finals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.0118326875 | $1.89 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.342 | $4.53 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by September 30? | SELL | 0.0176132928 | $3.65 |
| 09-15 10:42 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |