Zapcedy
0x4ee300527783bbc56c9df3f84d3478f5d62e6817
- Realised P&L
- $5.36
- Volume
- $147.17
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.485 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.024 | $1.69 | −$0.31 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? · No | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Lester Martinez vs. Luka Plantic · Luka Plantic | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.465Philippines vs. Iran
- +$3.41at 0.096Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$1.54at 0.517Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
- +$-1.05at 0.052Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.0857142833 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 02:40 | Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 02:37 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.51 |
| 09-09 02:08 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.0929999928 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 04:50 | Lester Martinez vs. Luka Plantic | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 04:49 | Philippines vs. Iran | BUY | 0.4524589872 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 04:41 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.912 | $3.58 |
| 08-27 02:08 | Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.0277461098 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 01:36 | Will Jonathan Kuminga play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 01:09 | Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |