0x4edd3Aba2DFE51fDfd878648a09104581044dDf1-1781211896302
0x4edd3aba2dfe51fdfd878648a09104581044ddf1
- Realised P&L
- $33.6k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $56.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: LDU de Quito 3 - 2 SE Palmeiras? · Yes | 0.860 | 1.000 | $45.00 | +$6.30 |
| Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 0 - 1 Estudiantes de La Plata? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $11.66 | +$1.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.920Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$3.2kat 0.055Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?
- +$3.1kat 0.612Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$2.3kat 0.041Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
- +$1.9kat 0.113Real Salt Lake vs. Atlante FC: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:27 | SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.37 | $6.50 |
| 09-17 00:29 | Exact Score: Botafogo FR 3 - 2 Grêmio FBPA? | BUY | 0.957 | $4.79 |
| 09-17 00:27 | Will Botafogo FR vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.86 |
| 09-17 00:26 | Exact Score: Botafogo FR 3 - 2 Grêmio FBPA? | BUY | 0.104 | $1.43 |
| 09-17 00:24 | Exact Score: Botafogo FR 3 - 2 Grêmio FBPA? | BUY | 0.7964886391 | $65.20 |
| 09-16 23:33 | Will LDU de Quito vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.66 |
| 09-16 22:11 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.43 | $25.95 |
| 09-16 22:10 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.5349571734 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-16 18:14 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-16 02:31 | Exact Score: São Paulo FC 1 - 1 CA Boca Juniors? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-16 02:22 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $26.58 |
| 09-16 02:21 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.73 | $0.20 |
| 09-16 02:20 | Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7653372149 | $15.77 |