PolyBot

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Traders

0x4ed867e3545360537d9c0c48e0211130d7eb0110

0x4ed867e3545360537d9c0c48e0211130d7eb0110

Realised P&L
$-15.03
Volume
$138.47
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4000.415$1.96+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 23:35Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4$1.89
08-29 03:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999504$1.67
08-06 05:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
08-03 21:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.209999974$5.00
08-02 00:55Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
08-01 16:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7599998541$5.00
08-01 07:59Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.39$1.17
07-31 11:55Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-30 20:46Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$4.59
07-30 00:35New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$4.59
07-29 13:02Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.64$1.95
07-28 18:15Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6799999343$2.07
07-28 06:30Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of July 27 2026?BUY0.42$1.26
07-27 16:05Will Trump say "Forever" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.26$1.69
07-25 13:37Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference?BUY0.8$4.86