oferbe
0x4ed51a81e8ec819a498a6fe87567554cc080db07
- Realised P&L
- $-1.90
- Volume
- $343.65
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $29.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.465 | $11.07 | +$1.07 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.295 | $7.38 | −$2.63 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.355 | $6.99 | +$1.48 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.440 | $4.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.36at 0.280Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$24.24at 0.290Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 04:56 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.993 | $34.24 |
| 10-28 04:56 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.99 | $35.35 |
| 10-26 04:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5289999911 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 07:24 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 07:24 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3645320188 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 13:58 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 11:58 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 11:53 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 11:50 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 11:50 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 08:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999919 | $5.51 |