PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4ed35130402a15d06b102f91877a4fe43ed2e416

0x4ed35130402a15d06b102f91877a4fe43ed2e416

Realised P&L
$585.23
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
298
Open portfolio
$191.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded298
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 00:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.69$3.45
09-25 00:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7$3.50
09-25 00:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7$3.50
09-25 00:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25?BUY0.46$2.30
09-24 23:57Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.71$3.55
09-24 23:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.46$2.30
09-24 23:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 25?BUY0.46$2.30
09-24 23:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.69$3.45
09-24 23:40Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on September 25?BUY0.81$4.05
09-24 23:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7$3.50
09-24 23:40Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7091$3.55
09-24 23:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7$3.50
09-24 23:39Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.7$3.50
09-24 23:39Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.89$4.63
09-24 23:27Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25?BUY0.74$5.92