copim
0x4ecfe7345a1e829329e0ca7816c1e927cacf75d2
- Realised P&L
- $-509.86
- Volume
- $74.9k
- Markets traded
- 608
- Open portfolio
- $68.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded608
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · No | 0.403 | 0.475 | $28.70 | +$4.34 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.600 | $25.09 | +$2.09 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.550 | $9.96 | +$0.18 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala · Alexandra Eala | 0.200 | 0.195 | $4.88 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$145.73at 0.190Spread: England (-1.5)
- +$133.50at 0.212Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
- +$107.32at 0.788Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
- +$79.16at 0.380Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$77.33at 0.093US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999779 | $9.78 |
| 08-03 05:40 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Eala | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 05:38 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 01:34 | Iran successfully targets shipping on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $23.00 |
| 08-03 01:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3593353249 | $19.25 |
| 08-03 01:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $19.62 |
| 08-03 01:18 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 01:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3733790262 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 00:38 | Lyngby BK vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-02 19:05 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.4234384433 | $19.36 |
| 08-02 16:58 | Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Vasas FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.4158415537 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Will Ferencvarosi Budapest win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? | SELL | 0.09140007 | $13.06 |
| 08-02 07:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $31.66 |
| 08-02 07:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.5299999891 | $10.67 |