PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MountainBoi

0x4ecefb5b148a5ac4f414b277c54cd328ae3a3893

Realised P&L
$221.77
Volume
$45.7k
Markets traded
222
Open portfolio
$232.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded222
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.6220.879$226.33+$66.33
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.004$5.83$4.17
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.2790.001$0.03$15.97
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 09:51Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?SELL0.087$1.02
07-12 16:50Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.409$2.31
06-26 19:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
06-26 18:51Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?BUY0.1859999273$2.00
06-26 18:47Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?BUY0.4$5.00
06-26 18:45Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.9149999994$100.00
06-03 04:06Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0859999286$1.00
05-30 21:35Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?BUY0.4599999844$10.00
05-30 21:32Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.06$18.00
05-17 19:41Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.3169999816$10.00
05-13 19:12Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?BUY0.449999955$5.00
05-03 16:11Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?SELL0.987$89.71
04-26 18:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.5$2.78
04-26 18:35Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.5$1.86
04-26 05:52Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.52$0.93