0x4ecA864dB3AE9782DB961d3182519739a905E568-1780249983200
0x4eca864db3ae9782db961d3182519739a905e568
- Realised P&L
- $6.63
- Volume
- $428.61
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $7.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.035 | $5.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.595 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.29at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 15:09 | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | BUY | 0.0322105141 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 16:11 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 16:10 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 10:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 10:16 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 10:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.0349999935 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 10:12 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 10:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |