PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

yerubaalAA

0x4ec8b0d469bab75917c70d0ffa4439b15c1396a5

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$271.1k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel election happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9080.958$1.1k+$55.14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5020.515$894.32+$23.20
Hawks vs. Nets · Nets0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5? · Up0.4400.000$0.00$9.68
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.2850.000$0.00$199.50
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.8300.000$0.00$500.49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.8780.000$0.00$67.61
Spurs vs. Lakers · Spurs0.5100.000$0.00$10.20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$49.83
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? · Yes0.2660.000$0.00$102.14
76ers vs. Bulls · 76ers0.4700.000$0.00$10.34
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00$27.00
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers · Thunder0.6500.000$0.00$10.40
Nuggets vs. Warriors · Nuggets0.4600.000$0.00$20.24
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$49.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 08:36Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.9064380201$82.78
09-10 14:31Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.45$72.24
09-08 17:02Will Israel election happen as scheduled?BUY0.923750469$147.71
09-04 18:27Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.52$199.68
09-04 13:38Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.52$199.68
07-30 10:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.77$154.08
07-30 10:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9$199.80
07-24 09:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.49$99.96
07-23 09:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.75$360.00
07-22 19:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.66$198.00
07-22 19:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?SELL0.997$199.40
07-19 08:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUY0.86$135.88
07-19 08:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.75$165.00
07-19 08:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?BUY0.84$102.40
07-18 21:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?BUY0.85$204.00