LucaSantos
0x4ec7d89d65e5320ee4e73ba0b6608d866e85ed98
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $86.2k
- Markets traded
- 6,488
- Open portfolio
- $25.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,488
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.710 | $6.75 | +$1.71 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5 · Over | 0.320 | 0.325 | $5.33 | +$0.08 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.505 | $4.81 | −$0.05 |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana · Indiana | 0.390 | 0.370 | $4.78 | −$0.26 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks · Seahawks | 0.490 | 0.325 | $3.45 | −$1.75 |
| Lions vs. Cardinals · Cardinals | 0.383 | 0.006 | $0.17 | −$9.98 |
| Spread: Lions (-1.5) · Cardinals | 0.440 | 0.009 | $0.11 | −$5.06 |
| Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5) · GamerLegion | 0.652 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.16 |
| Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage · Sinners | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.32 |
| HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis · Maddison Inglis | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.32 |
| ITF Samobor: Jakub Vrba vs Noa Vukadin · Noa Vukadin | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.46 |
| Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.30 |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.44 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner · PARIVISION | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.22 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca · Roberto Bautista Agut | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.87at 0.174LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
- +$49.14at 0.067XRP Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$45.35at 0.491LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$43.68at 0.316Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$42.34at 0.212Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:23 | Lions vs. Cardinals | SELL | 0.991 | $6.19 |
| 10-11 21:51 | 49ers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.4899999953 | $5.20 |
| 10-11 21:17 | Lions vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.72 | $4.50 |
| 10-11 21:12 | Spread: Lions (-1.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $5.17 |
| 10-11 21:01 | Lions vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.5499999579 | $5.22 |
| 10-11 20:45 | Giants vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.5009999518 | $4.77 |
| 10-11 20:16 | Lions vs. Cardinals: O/U 54.5 | BUY | 0.5299999979 | $5.04 |
| 10-11 20:11 | Spread: Browns (-1.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $8.32 |
| 10-11 20:10 | Browns vs. Jets | SELL | 0.99 | $14.25 |
| 10-11 20:07 | Spread: Steelers (-7.5) | SELL | 0.991 | $17.44 |
| 10-11 20:02 | Colts vs. Steelers | SELL | 0.985 | $8.27 |
| 10-11 19:34 | Spread: Packers (-6.5) | SELL | 0.991 | $8.31 |
| 10-11 19:31 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | SELL | 0.989 | $15.06 |
| 10-11 19:17 | Will Paysandu SC PA win on 2026-10-10? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.21 |
| 10-11 19:02 | Browns vs. Jets | BUY | 0.3799999943 | $5.33 |