NFTNerd420
0x4ec606befc8861267c8033ae564074593a3e749e
- Realised P&L
- $95.25
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $3.24
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.025 | $1.75 | −$8.99 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.230 | 0.915 | $1.49 | +$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.49at 0.349LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- +$43.27at 0.277LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
- +$41.48at 0.542LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
- +$27.80at 0.392LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$26.63at 0.280LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 22:44 | Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | SELL | 0.41 | $24.61 |
| 08-21 13:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23? | SELL | 0.42 | $23.46 |
| 08-19 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21? | SELL | 0.85 | $26.52 |
| 08-19 21:31 | Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 08-10 15:16 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.5153617234 | $10.00 |
| 08-10 15:15 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5294117398 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 07:51 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 19:25 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.8 | $14.44 |
| 08-08 18:34 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3599999756 | $6.50 |
| 08-08 15:04 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 15:03 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4411764589 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 15:03 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 15:02 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 15:02 | LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 15:02 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |