PolyBot

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Traders

NFTNerd420

0x4ec606befc8861267c8033ae564074593a3e749e

Realised P&L
$95.25
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$3.24

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? · No0.1500.025$1.75$8.99
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · No0.2300.915$1.49+$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 22:44Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?SELL0.41$24.61
08-21 13:32Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 23?SELL0.42$23.46
08-19 23:15Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 21?SELL0.85$26.52
08-19 21:31Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.6$12.00
08-10 15:16Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?BUY0.5153617234$10.00
08-10 15:15Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.5294117398$10.00
08-09 07:51Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-08 19:25LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.8$14.44
08-08 18:34LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.3599999756$6.50
08-08 15:04Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4299999931$10.00
08-08 15:03Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4411764589$10.00
08-08 15:03Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4799999827$10.00
08-08 15:02Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.3699999674$5.00
08-08 15:02LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.2799999731$5.00
08-08 15:02Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.5$10.00