PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4eBB94D5100FAE7ba5F249CE17f3E229468149b4-1772468714857

0x4ebb94d5100fae7ba5f249ce17f3e229468149b4

Realised P&L
$12.87
Volume
$587.70
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$5.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9200.945$2.05+$0.05
Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9300.989$1.06+$0.06
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat? · Yes0.9200.975$1.06+$0.06
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.935$1.03+$0.03
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 18:47Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.9199995952$2.00
10-15 14:41Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-06 20:58Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5449999164$3.00
10-06 20:57Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4809999412$3.00
09-02 10:14Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.7$0.97
05-04 15:04Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.42$0.93
04-28 17:57Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?SELL0.0131557228$1.01
04-27 19:34Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
04-26 15:14Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.0929999593$2.00
04-26 14:30Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL0.985$3.13
04-19 19:01Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.985$1.54
04-19 15:55Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.07$0.33
04-14 07:27Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.56$4.00
04-12 17:11Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?BUY0.919999448$1.00
04-12 17:10Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9299997117$1.00