burkirkingplane
0x4ebb8999a19ff68e55625524c501a67cf8d4374d
- Realised P&L
- $-3.16
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $181.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.950 | $52.25 | −$0.33 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.942 | $49.90 | −$1.40 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.804 | $43.42 | −$9.56 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.959 | 0.943 | $35.81 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.950Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?
- +$1.46at 0.972Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
- +$0.87at 0.931Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$0.69at 0.963Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 12:42 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $20.27 |