burkirkingplane
0x4ebb8999a19ff68e55625524c501a67cf8d4374d
- Realised P&L
- $4.95
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $208.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.975 | 0.985 | $53.16 | +$0.51 |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No | 0.962 | 0.959 | $52.72 | −$0.19 |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? · No | 0.985 | 0.955 | $51.57 | −$1.62 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.953 | $51.44 | −$1.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.950Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?
- +$1.46at 0.972Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
- +$0.87at 0.931Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$0.51at 0.950Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.946Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-10 12:42 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.9839999996 | $20.27 |