0x4EbB04b6cb81590CD06284144b2f482f38Ea525f-1770208781661
0x4ebb04b6cb81590cd06284144b2f482f38ea525f
- Realised P&L
- $-399.22
- Volume
- $118.2k
- Markets traded
- 433
- Open portfolio
- $43.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded433
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 16:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 15:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 14:25 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.16 |
| 10-13 09:34 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.04 |
| 10-13 08:07 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 08:06 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September? | SELL | 0.956 | $5.03 |
| 10-13 07:42 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 07:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.10 |
| 10-13 04:27 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 04:26 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | SELL | 0.96 | $5.05 |
| 10-13 03:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 23:59 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 20:59 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 12:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14? | SELL | 0.958 | $5.04 |
| 10-12 08:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14? | SELL | 0.959 | $5.08 |