PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4EbB04b6cb81590CD06284144b2f482f38Ea525f-1770208781661

0x4ebb04b6cb81590cd06284144b2f482f38ea525f

Realised P&L
$-399.22
Volume
$118.2k
Markets traded
433
Open portfolio
$43.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded433
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15? · No0.9100.915$5.03+$0.03
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? · No0.9290.928$5.00−$0.00
Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-08-10? · No0.9300.925$4.97−$0.03
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? · No0.9100.905$4.97−$0.03
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September? · No0.9260.889$4.80−$0.20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.9100.865$4.75−$0.25
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16? · Yes0.9100.855$4.70−$0.30
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15? · No0.9300.845$4.54−$0.46
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? · No0.9500.860$4.53−$0.47
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$298.17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$5.03
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche · Dusan Lajovic0.4400.000$0.00−$98.86
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6980.000$0.00−$100.28
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$101.26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No0.5060.000$0.00−$93.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 16:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 16?BUY0.91$5.00
10-13 15:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?BUY0.9099999163$5.00
10-13 14:25Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?SELL0.95$5.16
10-13 09:34Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.95$5.04
10-13 08:07Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9399999887$5.00
10-13 08:06Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?SELL0.956$5.03
10-13 07:42Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?BUY0.92$5.00
10-13 07:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?SELL0.95$5.10
10-13 04:27Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?BUY0.949999981$5.00
10-13 04:26US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.96$5.05
10-13 03:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 15?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
10-12 23:59US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.95$5.00
10-12 20:59Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?BUY0.9299998419$5.00
10-12 12:37Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?SELL0.958$5.04
10-12 08:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?SELL0.959$5.08