hyuyu8582
0x4eb9e8aab6493db050ea564b25910cef902bf5cb
- Realised P&L
- $37.69
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $22.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.034 | $6.03 | −$22.60 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.185 | $3.70 | −$2.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.085 | $3.40 | −$10.80 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.145 | $2.90 | −$1.60 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.075 | $2.25 | −$6.75 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.055 | $1.65 | −$3.55 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.036 | $1.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.041 | $0.61 | −$1.87 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| Will Google dip to $280 in April? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.60 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.18at 0.141Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$11.10at 0.550Will Hyperliquid reach $42 by December 31, 2026?
- +$11.04at 0.322Will Google reach $355 in April?
- +$8.50at 0.420Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
- +$7.90at 0.210Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-30 13:32 | Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-30 13:32 | Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-16 06:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 11-13 03:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 11-11 04:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 11-09 07:27 | Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November? | SELL | 0.991 | $29.73 |
| 11-08 06:51 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 11-06 03:28 | Will Solana dip to $140 in November? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 10-24 06:06 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 10-16 03:03 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? | SELL | 0.982 | $29.46 |
| 10-14 04:01 | Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 10-05 11:08 | Will Solana reach $270 in October? | SELL | 0.37 | $22.20 |
| 10-02 09:03 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 10-02 09:02 | Solana all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 08-19 06:13 | Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $20.40 |