account12pm
0x4eb4d31a794f233792f475b09675bb613332bd99
- Realised P&L
- $-56.71
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 469
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded469
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.82at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
- +$28.01at 0.159Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 14?
- +$27.93at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?
- +$25.92at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?
- +$23.67at 0.168Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.95 | $12.58 |
| 09-21 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.95 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.172 | $4.30 |
| 09-21 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2368161435 | $6.34 |
| 09-21 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-20 21:36 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-20 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.991 | $26.36 |
| 09-20 16:06 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.991 | $14.30 |
| 09-20 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.954 | $4.92 |
| 09-20 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-20 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2682480336 | $5.12 |
| 09-20 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1750616541 | $4.66 |
| 09-20 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1610119522 | $4.85 |
| 09-20 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1588905059 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.44 |