PolyBot

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Traders

account12pm

0x4eb4d31a794f233792f475b09675bb613332bd99

Realised P&L
$-56.71
Volume
$7.2k
Markets traded
469
Open portfolio
$0.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded469
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 21? · Yes0.1760.001$0.03$10.36
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.1890.001$0.03$10.48
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.2300.001$0.02$10.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$5.14
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$1.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 15? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00$5.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.2940.000$0.00$5.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees · Atlanta Braves0.4600.000$0.00$10.00
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 08:34Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.95$12.58
09-21 08:26Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?SELL0.95$6.00
09-21 08:02Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 21?BUY0.172$4.30
09-21 06:41Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?BUY0.2368161435$6.34
09-21 05:51Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.18$0.90
09-20 21:36Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.38$1.90
09-20 16:11Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.991$26.36
09-20 16:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?SELL0.991$14.30
09-20 12:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?SELL0.954$4.92
09-20 12:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?SELL0.95$4.75
09-20 08:13Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.2682480336$5.12
09-20 08:07Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.1750616541$4.66
09-20 06:38Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.1610119522$4.85
09-20 06:17Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.1588905059$2.29
09-19 12:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.24$1.44