PolyBot

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Traders

Skvantla11

0x4eb3a88cf76790134490ad1a57a978ae26e2da0e

Realised P&L
$479.31
Volume
$182.3k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$328.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0810.017$170.17−$670.04
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1500.095$118.75−$68.75
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.020$39.35−$24.60
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$745.49
South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00−$110.48
Hungary vs. Georgia: Georgia O/U 2.5 · Over0.1000.000$0.00−$8.96
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$228.78
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$14.98
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3620.000$0.00−$117.54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2400.000$0.00−$120.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.2870.000$0.00−$74.86
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.2860.000$0.00−$287.84
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$107.43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$20.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$120.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:02Hungary vs. Georgia: Georgia O/U 2.5BUY0.1$8.96
10-02 16:01Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.29$58.00
10-02 15:58Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.03$45.00
08-16 10:10Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$83.30
07-17 13:16Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.29$34.33
07-17 10:53Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.27$2.03
07-17 10:52Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19?BUY0.0415260797$2.50
07-17 10:51Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.2252050334$51.18
07-17 10:49Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?SELL0.18$15.20
07-14 19:00Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.21$54.60
07-14 18:59Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.4976363636$54.74
07-14 18:58Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3625$117.54
07-14 18:57Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$94.11
07-13 20:27Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.033$13.80
07-13 17:00Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.032$12.00