Skvantla11
0x4eb3a88cf76790134490ad1a57a978ae26e2da0e
- Realised P&L
- $479.31
- Volume
- $182.3k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $328.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.220US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.520Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$589.94at 0.238Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$224.78at 0.480Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?
- +$207.61at 0.316Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:02 | Hungary vs. Georgia: Georgia O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $8.96 |
| 10-02 16:01 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.29 | $58.00 |
| 10-02 15:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $45.00 |
| 08-16 10:10 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $83.30 |
| 07-17 13:16 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $34.33 |
| 07-17 10:53 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.03 |
| 07-17 10:52 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 19? | BUY | 0.0415260797 | $2.50 |
| 07-17 10:51 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2252050334 | $51.18 |
| 07-17 10:49 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $15.20 |
| 07-14 19:00 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $54.60 |
| 07-14 18:59 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4976363636 | $54.74 |
| 07-14 18:58 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3625 | $117.54 |
| 07-14 18:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $94.11 |
| 07-13 20:27 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $13.80 |
| 07-13 17:00 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $12.00 |