PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LiDani

0x4eb388826e3f99ee5f90f6e926423aa7ce0381c4

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$70.5k
Markets traded
365
Open portfolio
$242.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded365
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.125$65.79$34.21
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1050.055$52.26$47.74
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1800.055$30.25$68.75
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1300.075$28.85$21.15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2490.235$28.29$1.71
Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$17.00$1.00
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.195$16.25+$6.25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1300.026$2.04$7.96
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1100.015$1.36$8.64
Sweden leading at halftime? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$9.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 23:16Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$18.00
09-06 15:59Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Chelsea FC?BUY0.16$3.00
09-06 15:38Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.359999977$5.00
09-06 15:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.0301319576$6.85
09-06 13:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?SELL0.0053169685$1.14
09-01 16:05Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?BUY0.0141952869$2.00
08-31 03:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.003$2.29
08-30 14:24Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?BUY0.1809999877$10.00
08-29 17:49Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 1 Newcastle United FC?BUY0.3$1.50
08-29 15:03Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Everton FC?BUY0.19$1.90
08-29 14:34Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 0 Everton FC?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-29 14:18Everton FC leading at halftime?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-29 13:26Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?SELL0.02$0.10
08-29 10:46Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.16$2.00
08-29 10:45Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Nottingham Forest FC?BUY0.1099999521$2.00