PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

man.future

0x4eb050787d3854d2e7f8c1935e73e3722a74da3e

Realised P&L
$-428.60
Volume
$15.8k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$220.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.5601.000$160.71+$70.71
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5970.855$42.94+$12.94
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2000.047$7.05$22.95
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2700.045$5.00$25.00
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3060.045$4.42$25.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.4700.000$0.00$30.00
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$15.00
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1490.000$0.00$50.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$20.00
xAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$30.00
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$3.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$40.00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$35.35
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-25 02:24Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?SELL0.16$21.68
01-25 02:08Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?BUY0.409999991$10.00
01-25 02:05Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?SELL0.141$28.18
01-25 02:04Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?SELL0.5055083333$60.66
01-25 02:04Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?SELL0.1460843548$29.20
01-25 01:50Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
01-25 01:49Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?SELL0.038$4.58
01-25 01:32Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?SELL0.12$15.00
01-25 01:31Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
01-24 10:30Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?BUY0.24$30.00
01-24 10:30Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?BUY0.0829999929$10.00
01-24 10:28Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?BUY0.25$30.00
01-24 10:28Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?BUY0.1379742082$55.15
01-24 01:07Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?SELL0.09$18.00
01-24 01:06Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?BUY0.1$20.00