man.future
0x4eb050787d3854d2e7f8c1935e73e3722a74da3e
- Realised P&L
- $-428.60
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $220.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.97at 0.141Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$34.64at 0.722Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$30.66at 0.250Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
- +$28.13at 0.640Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$17.14at 0.700Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-25 02:24 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | SELL | 0.16 | $21.68 |
| 01-25 02:08 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 02:05 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours? | SELL | 0.141 | $28.18 |
| 01-25 02:04 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes? | SELL | 0.5055083333 | $60.66 |
| 01-25 02:04 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours? | SELL | 0.1460843548 | $29.20 |
| 01-25 01:50 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 01:49 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.58 |
| 01-25 01:32 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 01-25 01:31 | Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 01-24 10:30 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 01-24 10:30 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes? | BUY | 0.0829999929 | $10.00 |
| 01-24 10:28 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 01-24 10:28 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours? | BUY | 0.1379742082 | $55.15 |
| 01-24 01:07 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.00 |
| 01-24 01:06 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |