PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dlvr

0x4eabd327981f0aeab04793622d57321fa9ec00a2

Realised P&L
$3.41
Volume
$130.53
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$9.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $225-$230 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6? · No0.8500.870$4.96+$0.11
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 on November 2? · No0.3990.320$3.50−$0.86
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $275 on November 2? · No0.1800.120$0.65−$0.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-25 18:37Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $380?BUY0.88$1.10
03-25 16:28Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 23 above $5.50?SELL0.83$1.24
03-25 14:03Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 23 above $5.50?BUY0.729999881$1.35
03-25 01:20Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $161?BUY0.7419998555$1.13
03-25 01:20Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?SELL0.95$1.16
03-24 21:00Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $390?BUY0.64$1.12
03-24 19:14Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.6699998673$1.01
03-24 18:11Will Meta (META) close at $580-$590 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?SELL0.83$1.14
03-24 16:29Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?SELL0.82$1.06
03-24 14:10Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?SELL0.69$1.01
03-24 13:46Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$360 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.8899999837$1.09
03-24 13:43Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $156-$158 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?SELL0.89$1.04
03-24 09:58Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.8299994955$1.02
03-24 09:48Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.8699994946$1.36
03-24 07:05Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?BUY0.85$1.19