PolyBot

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Traders

Nikog80

0x4ea6c91d2f0b44cb017a1e3f252488747a2d3b78

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$69.3k
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$372.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes0.3000.155$372.00−$348.00
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$46.50
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$8.10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00−$1.4k
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$13.40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$14.80
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$24.90
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$2.20
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.8980.000$0.00−$62.90
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? · No0.8340.000$0.00−$25.02
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 11:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.3$301.50
08-13 11:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.45$726.30
08-04 21:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.49$9.80
08-02 08:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$8.00
08-02 08:51Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.35$0.45
08-02 08:50Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.35$17.09
08-02 08:50Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026?SELL0.37$18.32
07-26 12:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.58$98.60
07-26 12:03US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.93$93.00
07-26 12:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.58$58.00
07-26 12:01Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?SELL0.9$63.15
07-26 02:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?BUY0.71$46.15
07-25 14:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.54$54.00
07-24 14:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.52$46.80
07-21 06:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.56$179.20