PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4Ea0bc0EA27C1cae53C5228AFC88149Aba5AFCDd-1761304496356

0x4ea0bc0ea27c1cae53c5228afc88149aba5afcdd

Realised P&L
$-35.91
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
816
Open portfolio
$30.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded816
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.7200.705$10.57−$0.22
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) · AFC Bournemouth0.6700.665$9.97−$0.07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7960.876$8.76+$0.80
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.275$1.38+$0.03
Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score · No0.5600.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3? · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down0.3500.000$0.00−$3.50
Knicks vs. Hornets · Knicks0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.8680.000$0.00−$8.68
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$6.94
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes · Doosan Bears0.6100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$3.80
Ostrava: Zsombor Piros vs Tom Gentzsch · Zsombor Piros0.6400.000$0.00−$6.40
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 09:58Rockets vs. MavericksBUY0.4899999584$2.00
10-09 01:36Spread: Lakers (-10.5)BUY0.5099999949$3.00
10-09 01:35Wizards vs. KnicksBUY0.439999956$2.00
10-09 01:35Pelicans vs. HeatBUY0.4099999816$2.00
10-09 01:3576ers vs. NetsBUY0.1899999962$2.00
10-08 03:01Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.1799999964$3.00
10-06 23:40Lakers vs. WarriorsBUY0.4$5.00
10-06 23:40Nuggets vs. JazzBUY0.5$5.00
10-06 23:40Pelicans vs. ThunderBUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-05 15:12Falcons vs. SaintsBUY0.48$7.20
10-05 15:11Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?BUY0.27$1.35
10-05 15:10Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)BUY0.67$10.05
10-05 15:10Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.72$10.79
10-05 15:05Lakers vs. KingsBUY0.68$10.20
10-05 15:05Timberwolves vs. BucksBUY0.65$9.75