PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

skyy4everzzdd

0x4e9fcf27a424111712848bb91f9d49bf5b433340

Realised P&L
$124.48
Volume
$140.1k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$414.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4310.864$200.27+$100.22
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.003$70.83$269.13
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2100.080$63.86$105.23
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.004$28.29$61.70
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.140$20.71+$5.71
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.015$16.63$7.87
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0520.035$13.65$6.35
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.001$0.71$9.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0680.000$0.00$46.66
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No0.1100.000$0.00$159.84
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? · No0.0610.000$0.00$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00$15.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3280.000$0.00$238.12
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0590.000$0.00$105.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? · No0.1540.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 14:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.567$28.35
08-10 14:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.567$56.70
08-02 16:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2999999955$40.00
07-19 21:17Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2949999858$11.00
07-19 21:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2324999846$15.00
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2799999937$30.00
07-19 21:10Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2699999971$44.00
07-19 20:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3624999953$30.00
07-19 20:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3849999824$12.00
07-19 20:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.39$19.50
07-19 20:35Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4125$20.63
07-19 15:39Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999954$25.00
06-09 15:42Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.035848684$5.00
06-09 15:16Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?BUY0.0612745098$5.00
06-09 15:09Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0604588394$70.00