PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skyy4everzzdd

0x4e9fcf27a424111712848bb91f9d49bf5b433340

Realised P&L
$400.70
Volume
$140.3k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$418.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4310.882$204.68+$104.63
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.3430.577$109.41+$44.41
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.002$42.50−$297.46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2100.032$25.30−$143.79
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.002$12.13−$77.87
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0520.030$11.73−$8.27
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.045$6.66−$8.34
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0210.004$5.16−$19.34
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.001$0.71−$9.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.0680.000$0.00−$46.66
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No0.1100.000$0.00−$159.84
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026? · No0.0610.000$0.00−$5.00
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$15.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.3280.000$0.00−$238.12
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.0590.000$0.00−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 13:28Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3299999997$30.00
10-27 12:58Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3539999982$35.00
08-10 14:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.567$28.35
08-10 14:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.567$56.70
08-02 16:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2999999955$40.00
07-19 21:17Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2949999858$11.00
07-19 21:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2324999846$15.00
07-19 21:12Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2799999937$30.00
07-19 21:10Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2699999971$44.00
07-19 20:54Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3624999953$30.00
07-19 20:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3849999824$12.00
07-19 20:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.39$19.50
07-19 20:35Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4125$20.63
07-19 15:39Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999954$25.00
06-09 15:42Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.035848684$5.00