0x4e9f155ff94789d6862ae420f6e56b1f89850d96
- Realised P&L
- $-209.04
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $17.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record? · No | 0.102 | 0.067 | $17.95 | −$9.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$147.74at 0.442Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
- +$111.44at 0.588Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?
- +$83.94at 0.473FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
- +$83.54at 0.539Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$81.83at 0.461CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 17:07 | Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.1022034687 | $27.58 |
| 09-04 16:18 | Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4124062395 | $95.04 |
| 04-27 04:39 | Will FK Epitsentr Dunaivtsi win on 2026-04-27? | BUY | 0.4699999838 | $8.99 |
| 04-26 15:43 | FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.5299999692 | $4.85 |
| 04-26 08:14 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26? | BUY | 0.6299999994 | $77.29 |
| 04-26 08:13 | Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week? | BUY | 0.0298969183 | $18.10 |
| 04-26 08:12 | Will there be exactly 3 major space weather events this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $18.08 |
| 04-25 15:12 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.3459999956 | $42.30 |
| 04-25 15:12 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.56 | $44.84 |
| 04-25 14:29 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.5699999948 | $45.05 |
| 04-25 14:29 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? | SELL | 0.031584999 | $4.54 |
| 04-25 13:55 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.34 | $47.84 |
| 04-23 20:55 | Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) | BUY | 0.14999994 | $1.90 |
| 04-23 20:51 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3759613877 | $29.18 |
| 04-23 20:48 | Will VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.64 |