0x4E9B86eCcFA6351E55301673E7A97Bfb2CbEbf22-1774573946328
0x4e9b86eccfa6351e55301673e7a97bfb2cbebf22
- Realised P&L
- $-127.25
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $39.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.036 | $30.60 | +$26.54 |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.043 | $6.39 | +$4.48 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-11? · Yes | 0.930 | 1.000 | $2.06 | +$0.14 |
| Will Francisco Lindor lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.003 | $0.13 | −$0.88 |
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · No | 0.250 | 0.015 | $0.12 | −$1.88 |
| Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.004 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| Will Bo Bichette have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.76at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$201.67at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
- +$177.13at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
- +$158.04at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$57.76at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 18:58 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.97 |
| 05-15 18:57 | Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15? | BUY | 0.9099999469 | $1.20 |
| 05-14 21:11 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.38 |
| 05-14 20:16 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14? | BUY | 0.8399999713 | $1.17 |
| 05-14 18:59 | Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.22 |
| 05-14 18:59 | Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.22 |
| 05-14 00:28 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.04 |
| 05-14 00:21 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.04 |
| 05-13 20:54 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.75 |
| 05-13 19:44 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.6699999662 | $1.19 |
| 05-13 18:49 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.62 |
| 05-13 18:26 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | BUY | 0.6999998783 | $1.15 |
| 05-13 16:28 | Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 05-13 16:28 | Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 05-13 16:28 | Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0051559 | $1.03 |