PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4E954c8f8633b46a1267F4ba58d247E921801A85-1735106305084

0x4e954c8f8633b46a1267f4ba58d247e921801a85

Realised P&L
$4.97
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$36.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes0.9981.000$21.03+$0.03
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9930.989$15.39−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 09:59Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2?BUY0.998$21.00
09-29 15:42Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.998$16.20
09-28 20:34Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?BUY0.996$20.00
09-27 09:26Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27?BUY0.9959999775$18.40
09-24 11:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25?BUY0.996$17.82
09-24 04:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?BUY0.997$19.00
09-19 12:45Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20?BUY0.998$14.90
09-19 12:29Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 14-20?BUY0.9949999264$10.00
09-13 00:27Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13?BUY0.9969999998$11.86
09-12 10:10Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?BUY0.9939999677$28.00
09-06 08:34Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$18.55
09-03 16:39Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.9939999998$20.00
08-26 09:22Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.998$15.00
08-23 00:37Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?BUY0.9969999999$19.59
08-22 19:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?BUY0.9939999998$21.90