0x4E954c8f8633b46a1267F4ba58d247E921801A85-1735106305084
0x4e954c8f8633b46a1267f4ba58d247e921801a85
- Realised P&L
- $4.97
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $36.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $21.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.993 | 0.989 | $15.39 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.991Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.21at 0.995Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.993Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
- +$0.17at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 4?
- +$0.16at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 09:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.00 |
| 09-29 15:42 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.20 |
| 09-28 20:34 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 09:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9959999775 | $18.40 |
| 09-24 11:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $17.82 |
| 09-24 04:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.00 |
| 09-19 12:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.90 |
| 09-19 12:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9949999264 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 00:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $11.86 |
| 09-12 10:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $28.00 |
| 09-06 08:34 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $18.55 |
| 09-03 16:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $20.00 |
| 08-26 09:22 | Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 08-23 00:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.59 |
| 08-22 19:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $21.90 |