RoadtoSanary
0x4e94ba228c261ebd32c8e43eabafd10bb4fa41b6
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $227.4k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$490.35at 0.114Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$471.69at 0.089Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$126.63at 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.86at 0.280Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:00 | Will Asyut Petroleum SC vs. Modern SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:00 | Will Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Buriram United end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:59 | Will Beijing Guoan vs. FC Pohang Steelers end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:58 | Will Daejeon Citizen FC vs. Kyoto Sanga FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 03:57 | Will Ratchaburi FC vs. Shanghai Port FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:51 | Will Ceramica Cleopatra Club vs. National Bank of Egypt Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.706467649 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 15:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.2828991017 | $1.5k |
| 09-13 16:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.1260695257 | $517.88 |
| 09-13 16:04 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.2594843424 | $1.3k |
| 09-13 15:59 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.655 | $1.9k |
| 09-10 05:03 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.88 | $90.00 |
| 09-03 04:49 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $55.00 |
| 09-02 22:53 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $61.00 |
| 09-01 11:10 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | SELL | 0.9463898663 | $67.24 |
| 08-31 17:17 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.9107099153 | $54.00 |