PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PM-B

0x4e94316ba51ebf0bfd3eefd8a092732dec275f3d

Realised P&L
$-69.81
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$241.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? · No0.8600.865$43.25+$0.25
Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7900.715$35.75$3.75
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.5400.555$27.75+$0.75
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6700.660$26.40$0.40
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.505$25.25$6.25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.1500.105$21.00$9.00
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.4700.410$16.40$2.40
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 12%-15%? · No0.8100.820$12.01+$0.15
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.9100.865$6.92$0.36
Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.4900.285$5.70$4.10
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.3200.280$4.20$0.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? · Yes0.4100.175$3.50$4.70
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · No0.2400.175$3.50$1.30
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 300,000 and 350,000? · Yes0.2900.225$3.38$0.97
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-10 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.1900.125$2.50$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.