0xA640fbc6BE988a4E90892afcC45A2f46D0D7E60f-1770333834482
0x4e90c838f81cc9be31611b2b7288eb46cda2b951
- Realised P&L
- $36.72
- Volume
- $372.09
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $19.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.202 | $19.55 | +$9.55 |
| Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.12at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.45at 0.397Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.36at 0.537Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.89at 0.082Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:29 | Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? | BUY | 0.1030723404 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 20:06 | Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899999682 | $4.17 |
| 06-22 20:04 | Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.38 |
| 06-14 01:19 | NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record? | BUY | 0.0379999645 | $1.02 |
| 06-14 01:18 | Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.61 |
| 06-07 00:04 | Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-07 00:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 06-06 23:56 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 01:39 | Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 01:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 06-05 01:37 | Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |