PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA640fbc6BE988a4E90892afcC45A2f46D0D7E60f-1770333834482

0x4e90c838f81cc9be31611b2b7288eb46cda2b951

Realised P&L
$36.72
Volume
$372.09
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$19.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.1030.202$19.55+$9.55
Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.14
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.00
NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:29Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?BUY0.1030723404$10.00
06-22 20:06Will Erling Haaland score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3899999682$4.17
06-22 20:04Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?SELL0.07$4.38
06-14 01:19NBA Finals: Wemby to Break Single-Game Finals Blocks Record?BUY0.0379999645$1.02
06-14 01:18Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.05$0.61
06-07 00:04Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
06-07 00:03Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1099999521$2.00
06-06 23:56Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.529999965$5.00
06-05 01:39Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
06-05 01:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$5.00
06-05 01:37Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?BUY0.08$5.00