kristtina
0x4e8e583f5cb6785f571675885eb8e28e3a501c6e
- Realised P&L
- $-157.18
- Volume
- $41.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $238.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.165 | $165.00 | +$15.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.175 | $73.03 | −$18.78 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.90 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.47at 0.006Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-24.48at 0.005Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-36.12at 0.010Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 16:43 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $16.00 |
| 06-24 16:41 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 06-21 06:19 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $32.50 |