0x4E884Bc0B99e33b73c652AC1DE2504493e9F64Cd-1779314420841
0x4e884bc0b99e33b73c652ac1de2504493e9f64cd
- Realised P&L
- $-203.67
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $9.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.68at 0.215Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$33.59at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$33.03at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$25.56at 0.304Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$23.35at 0.123Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 22:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 22:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 22:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:09 | Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 22:09 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 22:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $33.57 |
| 09-28 22:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 22:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |