PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4E884Bc0B99e33b73c652AC1DE2504493e9F64Cd-1779314420841

0x4e884bc0b99e33b73c652ac1de2504493e9f64cd

Realised P&L
$-203.67
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
169
Open portfolio
$9.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded169
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.0640.065$5.11+$0.11
Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.125$4.81−$0.19
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.0840.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up0.1020.000$0.00−$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Up0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00−$10.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$11.79
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Down0.4490.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 22:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
09-28 22:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-28 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.1899999998$20.00
09-28 22:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.01$20.00
09-28 22:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSELL0.44$10.00
09-28 22:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-28 22:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
09-28 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-28 22:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-28 22:09Will Spain vs. Croatia end in a draw?BUY0.1299999948$3.00
09-28 22:09Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.06$3.00
09-28 22:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSELL0.41$33.57
09-28 22:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-28 22:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETBUY0.1899999962$5.00
09-28 22:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.01$5.00