0x4E818c12061C32A516a1deF66002deD5F062B4CE-1766418351566
0x4e818c12061c32a516a1def66002ded5f062b4ce
- Realised P&L
- $577.83
- Volume
- $109.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,413
- Open portfolio
- $810.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,413
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.86at 0.751Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$314.55at 0.734NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$224.50at 0.822Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$189.29at 0.864Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$169.85at 0.820Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:32 | West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.7599999992 | $200.00 |
| 10-06 12:15 | Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 09:40 | Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 10-06 09:21 | T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Bhutan | SELL | 0.999 | $391.56 |
| 10-06 08:03 | T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Bahrain vs Bhutan | BUY | 0.995 | $390.00 |
| 10-06 07:24 | T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Kuwait vs Mongolia | SELL | 0.9974694473 | $393.40 |
| 10-06 05:29 | T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier A: Kuwait vs Mongolia | BUY | 0.9634738126 | $380.00 |
| 10-05 21:19 | Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:18 | Will Bonaire win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.8399999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 21:17 | Will Bermuda win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-05 20:33 | Will Montenegro vs. Armenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-05 16:26 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE | SELL | 0.5876116741 | $135.10 |
| 10-05 15:01 | Cricket World Cup League 2: USA vs UAE | BUY | 0.768912618 | $176.78 |
| 10-05 14:14 | China Open: Coco Gauff vs Xinran Sun | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $121.00 |
| 10-05 14:13 | West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women | SELL | 0.999 | $107.07 |