trust333
0x4e78e54b1004b8075e28cd25820493a482a67ac2
- Realised P&L
- $-420.78
- Volume
- $29.8k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $137.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.655 | $137.48 | +$32.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.76at 0.562Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 14?
- +$0.45at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.02at 0.998Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:32 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | SELL | 0.51 | $23.52 |
| 10-17 09:32 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4802912495 | $518.63 |
| 10-13 11:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.55 | $137.94 |
| 08-22 09:57 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $72.35 |
| 08-22 09:48 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $72.42 |
| 08-22 09:41 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.982 | $14.38 |
| 08-22 09:32 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $31.57 |
| 08-22 09:23 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.60 |
| 08-22 09:13 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.982 | $11.39 |
| 08-22 09:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.9829999668 | $25.80 |
| 08-22 08:55 | Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 08-17 09:26 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $17.89 |
| 08-17 09:17 | Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.01 |
| 08-17 09:02 | Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.997 | $35.26 |
| 08-17 08:52 | Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.47 |